Addressing  China’s emergence into world of golf is not a question of “if”,  it’s a question of “how fast?” Tim Maitland reports.
There  are few definitive truths one can utter about a nation of China’s  massive scale. There are, however, some useful generalizations about the  “Middle Kingdom” especially in the last ten or twenty years. Firstly, it  tends to develop in whatever it is doing far quicker than almost all  outside predications. Secondly, China, just as it did with its  “socialist market economy”, tends to find its own way. The same broad  brush strokes apply for golf. 
Just  as surpassing Japan’s gross domestic product in the second quarter of  2010 confirmed China’s status as an economic power, China’s position as a  global tournament host has also been confirmed. It took just one  edition of the HSBC Champions as a World Golf Championships event to  complete a process started by the Volvo China Open, the first truly  international Chinese professional event in 1995, to convince most of  the naysayers that Shanghai was going to work. One of the little  asterisks – whether it should count as an official PGA Tour win - was  quickly removed, and this year it did… for the tour’s existing members  at least. 
That it happened faster than anyone imagined is beyond issue. As world number one golfer Lee Westwood exclaimed recently: “It’s  achieved a high-profile status very quickly, amazingly quickly when you  look at other tournaments and how much history they have before they  achieve that kind of fame.”
Westwood also neatly plucked out three factors that indicate that Shanghai’s  growing importance on the global golf calendar – this is after all the  event that Tiger Woods describes as “the crowning jewel of all of Asian golf” –  is unlikely to do anything but continue its upward trend:
“The Chinese economy is probably the strongest economy in the world right now, it’s a good tournament...and it’s a great golf course; that’s really all you can ask for,” Westwood said.
The  point seems to have been taken on board across the board in America,  where the credit crunch closed courses and the stagnation in terms of  the numbers of golfers is increasingly being seen as a decline. Couple  that with the fact that a very American golfer like Nick Watney  currently sports the logos of Japanese luxury carmaker Lexus and German  fashion brand Hugo Boss and you’re dealing with a very different,  worldly generation of American players.
“The markets here and in Europe aren’t growing and are maybe even shrinking. I kind of figured that the way that China was going economically and technologically I thought that golf would follow, but it seemed to happen very quickly,” said Watney, sounding convincingly like a CEO himself.
“A  World Golf [Championships event] in China, I think, is great for the  game," continued Watney. "Obviously, Asia is booming right now so we need to follow that.  When the best players continue to show up that validates that it is a  real event. When they win it shows that they are taking it seriously and  it’s a good golf course if the top names do well.”
A  roll of honour that working backwards from 2009 goes  Mickelson-Garcia-Mickelson-Yang would seem to illustrate Watney’s point  rather well. 
The  addition of the PGA Tour’s first foray into South East Asia (the  limited field CIMB Asia Pacific Classic took place at The Mines Resort  in Malaysia the week before Shanghai) is further indication that China’s  place on the world-class calendar is beyond reproach. It also signals  that the battle for position either side of the first week of November  is truly on with the Barclays Singapore Open competing with the JB Were  (Australian) Masters as the quality of field across the region  skyrockets.
“To go over there for one week is kinda silly, so I don’t see why guys won’t go over there and play more,” Watney explains. “There’ll be more than one or two events. You have a huge market over there and if it’s growing and wants golf you’d be a fool to not do it. I think it will only grow.”
That the number of golf courses in China will continue to grow as well is also beyond doubt. Despite a  long-standing  moratorium at central government level making permission for new  layouts harder to get, China has found a Chinese solution and, loathe as  one is to make broad sweeping statements, many of the world’s top golf  course designers are there and they’re not there on holiday. 
The  question now is how? To understand the way golf is evolving in China it  helps to think of golf as a feature, like an elaborate marble fountain; a  centerpiece to a real estate lifestyle business. That will only  continue; Imperial Springs near Guangzhou, which is close to completion,  will make all the palatial developments that have preceded it look, in  comparison, for want of a better word… a bit Caddyshack.
Among  the more promising developments for those of us who can’t let go of our  western concepts of “sport” being something more in a Corinthian way,  isn’t the massive new Mission Hills project on Hainan Island, although  that points the way to where the world’s next big tourist magnet will  be, but the low-grade locally-designed tracks that form a part of the  equally enormous but little-known Nanshan International Golf Club in  Shandong province. It is also worth remembering that virtually all of  the members clubs allow daily-fee golf and that as China’s middle class  grows wealthier the sport is going to become more affordable to them.
However,  arguing that golf in China needs to trickle down the societal layers to  reach the masses before we can address the next question – where  China’s stars are going to come from – is made redundant by Korea’s  example. 
The  Land of the Morning Calm has produced if not one of the greatest  generations, certainly the single greatest year group of women golfers  the world has ever seen without them ever seeing golf courses regularly.  Shin Ji-Yai, Kim In-Kyung, Choi Na-Yeon – the so-called “Dragon Ladies”  –   honed their games on  the top tier of Korea’s multi-story urban driving ranges not on the  drastically expensive, tee-off-at-5 a.m.-oversubscribed golf courses.
As  well as proving that access to courses isn’t critical, Korea also  provides possibly the greatest wisdom when it comes to answering where  the future China’s Tiger Woods, Mickelson, Wie or Miyazato is going to emerge from. For  the sake of finding a fancy name for it, we could call it the “Shin-Park  paradigm” after two of Korea’s most recent women’s Major winners, Shin  Ji-Yai and Park In-Bee. Ji-Yai grew up as a golfer in Korea, winning on  the KLPGA as a high-school student in 2005. In-Bee went to the States at  the age of twelve to do her growing there.
The  answer to the Shin-Park puzzle in China is probably both. The clues,  when it comes to looking into the future, ironically, won’t be found  during the week of the WGC-HSBC Champions but the week before. That’s  when the year-long HSBC National Junior Championship had its own version  of the Champions – a winners-only finale at the Sino-Bay Country Sports  Club located in the Shanghai Chemical Industry Park outside Shanghai.
In  its fourth year, the HSBC National Junior Championship passed a notable  landmark; the entry list at Sino-Bay took the number of children to  have benefited from an early taste of tournament golf past one thousand!  The HSBC China Junior Golf Program has now introduced over eight thousand children to the sport through its summer and winter camps and 200,000  children have swung a club for the first time through the schools scheme  which introduces golf into the PE curriculum at primary and middle  schools. 
 Credit: Getty Images 
If  you’re asking yourself whether China’s fledgling golf industry –  remembering that the first modern course only opened in 1984 – is mature  enough to grow future champions yet, it’s worth heeding the reaction of  PGA Tour pro Jason Dufner after he’d given a clinic for some of the  younger juniors before last year’s WGC-HSBC Champions. 
“The basics were unbelievable.  Some  of them were a little limited because of their size but I think where  their age range is it was pretty incredible for what they were doing,  from what I’ve seen,” Dufner said, comparing the 10-12-year-old kids he  saw favourably with their American counterparts. 
“I think they’re way ahead from what I’ve seen," Duffner related. " I think in ten years time there might be a lot of Chinese golfers on the PGA and LPGA Tours. I think some of the better players that I saw would hold their own if they went to the US… they would be very, very competitive against their age bracket for sure.”
A  more cautionary note was sounded recently by Asian Tour Executive  Chairman Kyi Hla Han who questioned whether the tournament structure was  in place to grow China’s male professionals. Han might have a point,  but reports of his comments also failed to acknowledge the existence of  the China PGA Tour as a successor to the Omega China Tour, which is far  less visible than its predecessor outside of the Chinese language and, at the time of writing, the number of professional men’s tournaments  in China in 2010 looked likely to match those of the previous two  seasons.
The  probability is that the women will come before the men, or, remembering  how Jenny Feng Shanshan came from nowhere as a teenager to earn her  LPGA card, the girls will come before the boys. The reality is, for every  Matteo Manassero, Rory McIlroy and Ryo Ishikwawa, there are many more  young female golfers who have proved competitive at an early age at the  pinnacle of the women’s game. The domestic tour – the China LPGA – is in  its second year and aims at staging ten tournaments annually: Zhang  Na’s four wins on the Japan LPGA in 2007 have established an alternative  roadmap to the American route. 
It’s  already been suggested that the girls’ work ethic exceeds that of the  Chinese boys by one high-profile overseas coach. And while one makes  generalizations with trepidation, perhaps also the Asian serenity, what  long-time LPGA caddie Shaun Clews refers to as a “certain calmness” that the Korean stars benefit from, will also serve the Chinese girls  too. 
Whether  it will be the regular winners on the HSBC National Junior Championship  (girls like Apple Yang Jiaxin, Lu Yue or, of the younger ones, Lucy Shi  Yuting and boys like Zhang Jin or Zhou Tian) or those following the  Park In-Bee route (Cindy Feng Yueer and the unrelated Feng Simin are  both prominent on the American junior circuit) or one of the young men  going through the US Colleges (Hu Mu, Wang Minghao or Han Ren) that will  arrive first, only time will tell. 
Simin, originally from Beijing, is  already an AJGA Rolex All-American while Yueer, from the city of  Shenzhen in China’s golfing heartland Guangdong province, rates in the  top on Golfweek’s junior ranking despite being a couple of years younger  than her rivals, but then as a counterpoint Feng Shanshan was hardly on  anyone’s radar outside Guangzhou when she went to the LPGA’s Q School.  Lucy Shi, at the tender age of 12, looks like a carbon copy of Shin  Ji-Yai when she was still a teenager, and although a lot can go wrong in  the next six years, Shi looks more likely to star rather than just  feature on the LPGA.
The  reality is that all these players are going to get greater  opportunities because of golf’s entry to the Olympics in 2016. Olympic  status has moved the China Golf Association from a cul-de-sac (it was  until a couple of years ago lumped in with and effectively financially  supporting sports like cricket and snooker in the so-called “small ball”  section) onto the six-lane superhighway of China’s sports ministry, The  State General Administration of Sports.
Sweden’s  Henrik Stenson, who might not claim to be a China “expert”, might have  hit the nail on the head with his broad, sweeping statement about the  future of Chinese golf. 
“We’ve seen some strong players emerging. Once they put their mind to golf we’ll see more,” Stenson stated. “The focus now – because of the Olympics – it’s just going to keep on working away and it’s going to be interesting to follow these next ten years.”
So  the answer when you ask whether China is coming is an emphatic "yes!" The  question that remains is just where from, how many and how fast?
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